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Dominic Thiem vs Alexander Bublik Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Thiem vs Bublik analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Dominic Thiem vs Alexander Bublik Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Thiem 2 - 0 Bublik

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Thiem has won 47.93% of points on their second serve, while Bublik has won 44.05%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Thiem, in recent form, has won 45.75% of their opponent's second serve points, while Bublik has won 45.2%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.03% and 31.64% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Thiem has saved 57.14% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Bublik has saved 61.67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Thiem has won 50% of matches played (W/L 22/ 22), with Bublik winning 61.4% (W/L 35/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Thiem has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 259/ 111), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 45% (W/L 14/ 17). Bublik has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 106/ 61), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 49% (W/L 56/ 59).
  • Player level: In the last year, Thiem has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 54.17% of matches (W/L 13/ 11), where as Bublik has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 68.57% of matches (W/L 24/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Thiem winning 2 times and Bublik being victorious 0 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Thiem winning 6 and Bublik winning 1. The last match between Thiem and Bublik was at the U.S. Open - New York, 28-08-2023, First, Hard with Dominic Thiem getting the victory 6-3 6-2 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:11:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Thiem and Bublik have played a deciding set 0 times, with Thiem winning 0 times and Bublik 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Thiem winning 0, and Bublik 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Thiem has played against opponents with an average rank of 172.59 while Bublik has played against players with an average rank of 133.39.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Thiem has won 60% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Bublik has won 87% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Thiem has converted 32.29% of breakpoint opportunities, and Bublik has converted 44.69% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Dominic Thiem

24

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

1

Slam

15

Main

5

Minor

134

Rank

3

High

30

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

0

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

17

Rank

17

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Alexander Bublik

14

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

4

Main

4

Minor

2

Total

0

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W L L L W L W L

Form

L L W W L L W L W L

64% (483-273)

Career Total W/L

58% (344-252)

44% (7-9)

YTD W/L

60% (18-12)

$20,532,215

Career Prize Money

$4,294,995

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Thiem VS Bublik H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Dominic Thiem Alexander Bublik
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 6 1
Games Won 43 27
Aces (Total) 14 22
DFs (Total) 8 24
Avg Match Time 2:11:0 2:11:0
1st Serve % 62% (132/212) 55% (118/216)
1st Serve Win% 80% (105/132) 77% (91/118)
2nd Serve Win% 53% (42/80) 35% (34/98)
BPs Won% (Total) 52% (11/21) 33% (4/12)
Return Points W% 42% (91/216) 31% (65/212)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)

Thiem VS Bublik H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-3 6-2 6-4
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Alexander Bublik
59% ( 48 of 81)
1st Serve %
48% ( 42 of 87)
8
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
17
73% ( 35 of 48)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 31 of 42)
58% ( 19 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 14 of 45)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 27 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 42 of 87)
96
Total Points Won
72
6-3 6-7(6) 6-3 7-5
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Alexander Bublik
64% ( 84 of 131)
1st Serve %
59% ( 76 of 129)
6
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
7
83% ( 70 of 84)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 60 of 76)
49% ( 23 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 20 of 53)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
29% ( 38 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 49 of 129)
142
Total Points Won
118

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Dominic Thiem Alexander Bublik
YTD W/L 44% (7/9) 60% (18/12)
Sets Win/Loss 40% (16/24) 50% (37/37)
Games Win/Loss 46% (178/212) 50% (357/363)
Hard Win/Loss 50% (2/2) 60% (9/6)
Clay Win/Loss 36% (4/7) 44% (4/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (1/0) 83% (5/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.3 0.84
Aces Total 57 295
DFs per game 0.25 0.57
DFs Total 48 199
Avg Match Time 1:54:15 1:44:43
Avg Opp Rank 207.69 152.8
1st Serve % 61% (684/1118) 59% (1409/2383)
1st Serve W% 66% (452/684) 73% (1033/1409)
2nd Serve W% 48% (208/434) 44% (429/974)
BPs Won% Total 32% (31/96) 45% (80/179)
Return Pts W% 36% (404/1136) 37% (811/2202)
Slam W/L 33% (1/2) 33% (1/2)
Masters W/L 33% (1/2) 38% (3/5)
Cups W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (3/3) 74% (14/5)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 33% (1/2) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 47% (7/15) 62% (16/26)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 50% (2/4)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (4/6) 55% (6/11)
Deciding Set W% 83% (5/6) 100% (10/10)
1st set W, W 100% (4/4) 100% (8/8)
1st set W, L 0% (4/0) 0% (8/0)
1st set L, W 25% (12/3) 45% (22/10)

Dominic Thiem Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q2
cross
Otto Virtanen
Player
Dominic Thiem
68% ( 41 of 60)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
76% ( 31 of 41)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 20 of 39)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 20 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 38 of 75)
78
Total Points Won
57
L
6-2 7-5 H2H
Q1
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Franco Agamenone
55% ( 46 of 84)
1st Serve %
69% ( 68 of 99)
4
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
5
70% ( 32 of 46)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 40 of 68)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
38% ( 32 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 99)
97
Total Points Won
86
W
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Player
Dominic Thiem
70% ( 32 of 46)
1st Serve %
64% ( 36 of 56)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
81% ( 26 of 32)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
57% ( 8 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
61
Total Points Won
41
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
61% ( 54 of 88)
1st Serve %
73% ( 72 of 99)
6
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
1
69% ( 37 of 54)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
36% ( 32 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 42 of 99)
98
Total Points Won
89
W
6-2 3-6 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Alejandro Moro Canas
Player
Dominic Thiem
75% ( 58 of 77)
1st Serve %
51% ( 29 of 57)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
66% ( 38 of 58)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
37% ( 7 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
42% ( 32 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 57)
72
Total Points Won
62
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Roberto Bautista Agut
Player
Dominic Thiem
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve %
64% ( 27 of 42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
69% ( 24 of 35)
1st Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
31% ( 14 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
57
Total Points Won
30
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Richard Gasquet
Player
Dominic Thiem
52% ( 32 of 61)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 91)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 34 of 52)
72% ( 21 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 20 of 39)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
28% ( 17 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 37 of 91)
81
Total Points Won
71
L
6-4 7-6(6) H2H
R1
cross
Dominic Thiem
Player
Maximilian Marterer
61% ( 52 of 85)
1st Serve %
62% ( 59 of 95)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
7
73% ( 38 of 52)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 35 of 59)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
36% ( 31 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 44 of 95)
98
Total Points Won
82
W
6-1 6-7(3) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Lukas Neumayer
Player
Dominic Thiem
62% ( 45 of 73)
1st Serve %
56% ( 27 of 48)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 8 of 21)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 8)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 24 of 48)
70
Total Points Won
51
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
R1
W
6-2 7-6(4) H2H

Alexander Bublik Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Jan-Lennard Struff
Player
Alexander Bublik
62% ( 43 of 69)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
8
Aces
11
3
Double Faults
7
88% ( 38 of 43)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 27 of 45)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 17 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 83)
93
Total Points Won
59
L
6-2 6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Gregoire Barrere
54% ( 63 of 116)
1st Serve %
63% ( 62 of 98)
11
Aces
2
12
Double Faults
3
68% ( 43 of 63)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 35 of 62)
47% ( 25 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
44% ( 7 of 16)
Break Points Won
31% ( 4 of 13)
41% ( 48 of 116)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 46 of 98)
114
Total Points Won
100
W
6-4 7-5 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Player
Alexander Bublik
73% ( 40 of 55)
1st Serve %
60% ( 49 of 82)
3
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
8
85% ( 34 of 40)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 31 of 49)
53% ( 8 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
24% ( 13 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 36 of 82)
78
Total Points Won
59
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
55% ( 29 of 53)
1st Serve %
52% ( 27 of 52)
10
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
0
83% ( 24 of 29)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 21 of 27)
63% ( 15 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
26% ( 14 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 19 of 52)
58
Total Points Won
47
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Nuno Borges
Player
Alexander Bublik
69% ( 37 of 54)
1st Serve %
63% ( 48 of 76)
1
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
6
65% ( 24 of 37)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
39% ( 21 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 36 of 76)
69
Total Points Won
61
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alexander Bublik
57% ( 37 of 65)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 33 of 46)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 12 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 36 of 81)
78
Total Points Won
68
L
7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Ben Shelton
64% ( 59 of 92)
1st Serve %
60% ( 62 of 103)
8
Aces
9
8
Double Faults
1
80% ( 47 of 59)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 45 of 62)
58% ( 19 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
66% ( 27 of 41)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
28% ( 26 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 31 of 103)
97
Total Points Won
98
W
3-6 7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
63% ( 46 of 73)
1st Serve %
69% ( 44 of 64)
6
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
3
74% ( 34 of 46)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 27 of 44)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 27 of 64)
73
Total Points Won
64
W
1-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Borna Coric
Player
Alexander Bublik
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
48% ( 25 of 52)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
8
71% ( 15 of 21)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 15 of 25)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 6 of 27)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
35% ( 15 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 31 of 52)
59
Total Points Won
36
L
6-1 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexander Bublik
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve %
59% ( 35 of 59)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 24 of 35)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
35% ( 22 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 28 of 59)
68
Total Points Won
53
L
6-4 6-1 H2H

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